📊 xWIN Index | August 10, 2025 | 07:00 JST
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 77 / 100 (Change from previous day: +3)
This index is a short-to-mid-term indicator looking one month ahead.
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$70.12B (+5.6% from previous day)
→ BTC holding around $117,600, ETH above $4,200 in a high-price range. ETF inflows and institutional buying continue.
→ $310B capital inflow over the past 7 days, accelerating bullish momentum.
2. MACD: Bullish cross continues on daily & weekly for BTC and ETH
→ ETH/BTC ratio stable at 0.034, showing clear altcoin-led momentum.
3. MVRV: 1.87 (+0.02 from previous day)
→ Overheating signals increasing but still below critical danger zone; room for bullish continuation.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 68 (CoinMarketCap) / 72 (
→ Firmly in Greed territory, with profit-taking pressure balanced by strong new buying interest.
5. Open Interest: ~$83.2B (+1.8% from previous day)
→ ETH longs dominate; XRP futures see sustained spikes in both volume and OI.
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🌏 Trending Topics on X (Twitter):
• 🇺🇸 President Trump legalizes crypto investments in 401(k) plans ($9T market size)
• 🇺🇸 Harvard University holds $11.7B in BlackRock BTC ETF
• 📈 ETH ETF saw $461M net inflows on Aug 8 (outpacing BTC inflows)
• 💥 $120M in ETH & BTC shorts liquidated in the past 24h
• 🏦 Over half of the top 25 U.S. banks accelerating entry into crypto business
• 🌐 SEC formally excludes Lido, Jito, and other staking protocols from securities regulations
• 🇺🇸 Fed to restart QE in Q4 & implement two rate cuts
• 🔗 Chainlink launches “LINK Reserve” with long-term accumulation policy
• 🗳 Cardano community approves $71M for core protocol development
• 💼 World Liberty Financial plans to raise $1.5B to launch a public crypto-holding company
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✅ Overall Assessment:
U.S. policy shifts (401(k) approval, QE restart) and deepening institutional participation are boosting both supply-demand balance and market sentiment.
ETH strengthens its uptrend with the combined support of ETF inflows, RWA, and DeFi activity. BTC benefits from ETF demand and aggressive accumulation by corporates and endowments.
The altseason is on the verge of full activation, with signs of concentrated flows into thematic names such as XRP, BNB, and SOL.
While signs of overheating are present, both short- and mid-term trends remain decisively bullish.
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💼 RWA-Related Topics:
• BlackRock, Franklin, and Apollo building RWA projects on Aptos
• ETH TVL surpasses $87B (highest since 2022)
• U.S. Fed hints at potential gold revaluation & BTC policy use
• Hong Kong’s IVD Medical buys ETH for healthcare RWA applications
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🎯 Key Support / Profit-Taking Zones (Guide):
• BTC: Buy on dips → $114,500–$116,500 | Take profit → $119,000–$121,000
• ETH: Buy on dips → $3,950–$4,050 | Take profit → $4,250–$4,500
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✍️ Strategy Notes:
• ETH’s rally is driven by the “ETF + RWA + DeFi” synergy, not just technicals
• BTC remains supply-demand favorable due to ETF flows & institutional buying
• For altcoins, focus on large-cap leaders (XRP, BNB, SOL) and RWA thematic plays
• Short term: Buy dips in ETH & XRP, take profit in stages
• Mid/long term: Consider steady accumulation of DeFi × RWA infrastructure tokens
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