Sure! Here's the English version of the June 18, 2025 xWIN Index report with the score adjusted to 62 points:
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📊【xWIN Index|June 18, 2025 | 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 62 / 100 (Up +1 from previous day)
※ This index is a short-to-mid-term indicator forecasting the Bitcoin market 1 month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$170.5B (+3.8% from previous day)
→ Continued ETF inflows, but market remains cautious ahead of FOMC meeting.
2. MACD (4H Chart): Golden Cross remains intact
→ Short-term uptrend sustained, though volume growth shows signs of slowing.
3. MVRV: 1.79 (+0.03)|STH MVRV: 1.15
→ Approaching profit-taking zones, but whale accumulation is providing support.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 68 (+3 | Greed)
→ Bullish sentiment continues, though concerns over overheating are emerging.
5. Open Interest: 684,730 BTC (~$72.8B | +1.6%)
→ Still rising overall, but CME positions are down—suggesting short-term profit-taking.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (24H):
📌 USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $156.4B (+0.13%)
→ TRON-based usage hits record highs. Supply-demand remains healthy.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $64.7B (+1.09%)
→ Boosted by JPM’s token and regulatory hopes, but some signs of flow slowdown.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.71M (+0.51%)
→ Stable, supported by yen-hedge demand and policy debate.
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🌏 Key Trends on X (formerly Twitter):
• ETH saw $526M inflow last week; BlackRock added more, but price remains flat
• JPMorgan launched pilot of “JPMD” token on Ethereum Layer 2 Base
• Fold, DDC, and other firms expanding BTC treasury holdings
• Market expects FOMC to hold rates (98% probability); rate-cut optimism is priced in
• Meta Pool suffered $27M unauthorized mint—but minimal actual damage
• ETH whale accumulation strong—87K ETH inflow on June 12 (YTD high)
• Geopolitical risks rising: Trump-Iran tensions, US-China trade, etc.
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: $961.5B (+0.9%)
• RSI: 64 (Up +3 | Mild bullish zone)
→ xWIN Index Score: 62 points (Up +1)
→ While fundamentals remain bullish (ETF, institutions, whale activity), macro risks and FOMC uncertainty warrant caution. ETH accumulation and corporate BTC buying offer solid support, but the market is in a delicate balance.
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• Support Zone (Dip Buy): $104,000–$105,800
• Take-Profit Range: $110,000–$112,500
• Caution Level: Below $102,000 = possible trend breakdown
→ Suggested Strategy: “Selective dip buying with cautious risk control; ETH and altcoin allocation adjustments recommended ahead of key events.”
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