📊【xWIN Index|July 12, 2025, 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 70 / 100 (Change: +2)
This index is a short-to-mid-term indicator looking ahead one month.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$98.1 billion (Change: +5.3%)
→ BTC broke through $118,000 to a new all-time high. ETH maintained above $3,000, and SOL surpassed Ferrari’s market cap. BTC and ETH holdings on exchanges remain at historic lows, intensifying supply tightness.
2. MACD: 1-hour chart golden cross continues
→ Strong bullish momentum remains clear, with ETH dominance rapidly expanding. However, overheating risks in some alts warrant caution.
3. MVRV: 1.94 (Change: +0.03)
→ While profit-taking pressure is rising, institutional buying and ETF inflows continue to provide support.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 74 (Change: +3 | Greed)
→ FOMO sentiment intensifies, fueling stronger investor participation.
5. Open Interest: 723,200 BTC (Change: +1.0%)
→ ETH Open Interest hits a new all-time high at 8,120,500 ETH, signaling continued long positioning.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (Change from previous day):
📌 USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $161.3 billion (+0.12%)
Volume: ~$142 billion (+3.3%)
→ Continuous increase in both risk-on demand and payment utility.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $68.3 billion (+0.59%)
Volume: ~$18.1 billion (+4.0%)
→ Boosted by Ant Group integration, pushing global payment adoption.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.93 million (+0.25%)
→ Steady domestic demand for capital stability continues.
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🌏 Notable Trends on X:
• BTC surpasses $118,000, setting a new all-time high
• ETH faces supply shock due to massive ETF purchases; SharpLink's additional acquisition is also in focus
• SOL surpasses Ferrari’s market cap, marking a historic milestone
• BofA names BTC “the best performing currency”; Scaramucci forecasts BTC at $180,000
• Robinhood starts ETH and SOL staking, accelerating DeFi adoption
• US House launches “Anti-Crypto Corruption Week,” signaling intensifying political conflict
• Bank of America officially acknowledges BTC as “top-performing currency”
• Multibank Group launches $MBG, accelerating TradFi and DeFi integration
• El Salvador’s BTC reserves exceed $700 million
• Upexi plans to double SOL holdings to 1.65 million SOL
• China’s MicroCloud Hologram to purchase up to $200 million in BTC-related securities
• Reports of Fed Chair Powell considering resignation, potential impact on rate policy
• S&P500 hits all-time high, strong risk-on sentiment across assets
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: ~$2.79 trillion (Change: +2.2%)
• RSI: 82 (further overheating)
→ xWIN Index Score: 70 (Change: +2)
→ New all-time highs for BTC and ETH, strong institutional and corporate buying, regulatory easing, and active capital rotation are strong tailwinds. However, overheating RSI and potential short-term profit-taking require caution.
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📈 Strategy Hints:
• Pullback Support Zone: $115,000–$117,000
• Take-Profit Zone: $122,000–$127,000
• Caution Line: Break below $111,000 = short-term bearish shift
→ Base strategy: Gradual dip buying focused on ETH and BTC, plus diversified profit-taking. Dynamic rebalancing and opportunistic short-term contrarian plays should also be considered in high-volatility phases.
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