After the release of non-farm payrolls: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose from 0 to 11.7%.
TechFlowSep 5, 2025On September 5th, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 0, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 88.3%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 11.7% (the probability before the data release was 0). The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 0.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 63.4%. (Golden Ten) [Techflow]
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After the release of non-farm payrolls: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose from 0 to 11.7%.
TechFlowSep 5, 2025On September 5th, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 0, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 88.3%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 11.7% (the probability before the data release was 0). The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 0.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 63.4%. (Golden Ten) [Techflow]
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