After the release of the non-farm payroll data: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September increased from 0 to 11.7%

PANewsSep 5, 2025
#Macro
On September 5th that according to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 88.3%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 11.7% (the probability was 0 before the data was released). The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 0.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 63.4%. [PANews]
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After the release of the non-farm payroll data: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September increased from 0 to 11.7%

PANewsSep 5, 2025
#Macro
On September 5th that according to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 88.3%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 11.7% (the probability was 0 before the data was released). The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 0.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 63.4%. [PANews]
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