Further interest rate cuts in October and December are not ruled out after the CPI is released.

Odaily 精选Sep 11, 2025
Analyst Ira said that the US core data met expectations, but the CPI data exceeded the overall data, which locked in the plan to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, and does not rule out the possibility of further interest rate cuts in October and December. For the long end of the yield curve, today's data may slightly push up short-term inflation breakeven. According to CME "Fed Watch": After the CPI was released, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 90.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 9.1% (this data was 8% before the CPI was released). The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 7.3%, the probability of cumulatively cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 84.3%, and the probability of cumulatively cutting interest rates by 75 basis points is 8.4%. [Odaily]
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Further interest rate cuts in October and December are not ruled out after the CPI is released.

Odaily 精选Sep 11, 2025
Analyst Ira said that the US core data met expectations, but the CPI data exceeded the overall data, which locked in the plan to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, and does not rule out the possibility of further interest rate cuts in October and December. For the long end of the yield curve, today's data may slightly push up short-term inflation breakeven. According to CME "Fed Watch": After the CPI was released, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 90.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 9.1% (this data was 8% before the CPI was released). The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 7.3%, the probability of cumulatively cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 84.3%, and the probability of cumulatively cutting interest rates by 75 basis points is 8.4%. [Odaily]
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