After the CPI was released, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose to 10.9%.

Odaily 精选Sep 11, 2025
#Macro
According to CME's "Fed Watch": There is an 89.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, and a 10.9% probability of a 50 basis point cut. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is 4.3%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 84.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 11.3%. (Before the CPI was announced, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September was 92.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points was 8.0%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October was 21.2%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut was 72.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut was 6.2%.) (Golden Ten) [Odaily]
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After the CPI was released, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose to 10.9%.

Odaily 精选Sep 11, 2025
#Macro
According to CME's "Fed Watch": There is an 89.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, and a 10.9% probability of a 50 basis point cut. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is 4.3%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 84.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 11.3%. (Before the CPI was announced, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September was 92.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points was 8.0%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October was 21.2%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut was 72.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut was 6.2%.) (Golden Ten) [Odaily]
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