Macro Outlook Next Week: CPI data is coming, and the Federal Reserve will hold a payment innovation conference to discuss stablecoins and tokenization.

律动Oct 18, 2025
#Macro
On October 18th, Wall Street finally ushered in a positive close to the stock market after a week of anxiety, as Trump's Friday remarks eased trade tension concerns, coupled with a rebound in regional bank stocks. Bonds, gold, and silver fell in response. Wall Street is about to usher in a crucial week for interpreting the truth about American companies: the release of Q3 financial reports is entering its peak, and inflation data will also make a heavy debut. The following are the key points that the market will focus on in the new week (all times are Beijing time):

Monday 10:00, China's Q3 GDP year-on-year rate;

Monday 22:00, US September Conference Board Leading Index MoM;

Tuesday, the Federal Reserve holds a payment innovation conference to discuss stablecoins, artificial intelligence, and tokenization;

Tuesday 21:00, Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers opening remarks at the Federal Reserve Board Payment Innovation Conference;

Wednesday 03:30, Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers closing remarks at the Federal Reserve Board Payment Innovation Conference;

Friday 20:30, US September Non-Seasonally Adjusted CPI YoY, US September Seasonally Adjusted CPI/Core CPI MoM, US September Non-Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI YoY.

As the US government shutdown continues, the market will focus on the only heavy data next week - the September CPI released on Friday. Regardless of the data performance, investors almost unanimously expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again by 25 basis points at the October 28-29 meeting. The September CPI report is particularly noteworthy as it will be one of the few official economic data released by US government statistical agencies during the shutdown that began on October 1st. (Golden Ten) [律动]

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Macro Outlook Next Week: CPI data is coming, and the Federal Reserve will hold a payment innovation conference to discuss stablecoins and tokenization.

律动Oct 18, 2025
#Macro
On October 18th, Wall Street finally ushered in a positive close to the stock market after a week of anxiety, as Trump's Friday remarks eased trade tension concerns, coupled with a rebound in regional bank stocks. Bonds, gold, and silver fell in response. Wall Street is about to usher in a crucial week for interpreting the truth about American companies: the release of Q3 financial reports is entering its peak, and inflation data will also make a heavy debut. The following are the key points that the market will focus on in the new week (all times are Beijing time):

Monday 10:00, China's Q3 GDP year-on-year rate;

Monday 22:00, US September Conference Board Leading Index MoM;

Tuesday, the Federal Reserve holds a payment innovation conference to discuss stablecoins, artificial intelligence, and tokenization;

Tuesday 21:00, Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers opening remarks at the Federal Reserve Board Payment Innovation Conference;

Wednesday 03:30, Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers closing remarks at the Federal Reserve Board Payment Innovation Conference;

Friday 20:30, US September Non-Seasonally Adjusted CPI YoY, US September Seasonally Adjusted CPI/Core CPI MoM, US September Non-Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI YoY.

As the US government shutdown continues, the market will focus on the only heavy data next week - the September CPI released on Friday. Regardless of the data performance, investors almost unanimously expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again by 25 basis points at the October 28-29 meeting. The September CPI report is particularly noteworthy as it will be one of the few official economic data released by US government statistical agencies during the shutdown that began on October 1st. (Golden Ten) [律动]

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