📊 This week on Market Pulse - MOOD Swings - Moody’s Downgrades US Credit Rating
Read the latest update from our Markets team.
🔷 Moody’s Downgrades US Credit Rating
🔹 Crypto Overview
◾ The overall crypto market was marked by a week of consolidation, with the TOTAL market cap index closing the week flat.
◾ In a sign of strength, BTC shrugged off Moody’s downgrade of US debt from Aaa to Aa1.
◾ BTC fought to regain its market dominance above 64%, after it had dropped to ~62.5% the prior week on altcoin gains.
◾ The UK mandated full transaction reporting for crypto firms, effective from January 1, 2026.
◾ Recent developments in corporate Bitcoin adoption highlights a growing trend among companies integrating Bitcoin into their treasury strategies. Notable ones included:
▪️ KindlyMD and Nakamoto Holdings Merger: To raise $710.000M for a substantial Bitcoin treasury.
▪️ Next Technology Holding's Bitcoin Acquisition: Purchase 5,833 BTC, with 5,000 acquired since the end of 2024.
▪️ American Bitcoin's Nasdaq Listing: A mining firm backed by Eric and Donald Trump Jr., plans to go public through a merger with Gryphon Digital Mining, to create a premier platform for Bitcoin accumulation.
◾ Altcoins failed to hold momentum on last week’s gains, with the TOTAL3 index, which excludes BTC and ETH, dropping ~1.8%.
◾ After seeing over $22.000M in liquidations on its weekend rise above $2,500, ETH ended up closing the week down ~2.6%, diverging from BTC again despite overall momentum staying bullish after holding above its 200 weekly MA.
◾ Stablecoin legislation approaches Senate debate.
◾ Telegram shuts down massive crypto-fueled black market.
🔹 Bitcoin - New Weekly Highs
◾ BTC is poised to mark its highest weekly close ever, ending the week above $105,000 for the first time.
◾ The average transaction fee on the Bitcoin blockchain has increased by around $1 since the start of May, according to The Block’s data, ticking up to its highest level in 2025.
◾ BTC kept seeing strong institutional interest and corporate treasury adoptions, with its US spot ETFs seeing another ~$608.000M in inflows last week.
◾ Trading volume for BTC derivatives keeps exceeding spot trading, indicating increased hedging and speculative activities.
◾ Strategy continues aggressive Bitcoin acquisition: Purchased 13,390 additional BTC, now holds 568,840 BTC.
🔹 Other Crypto Takeaways
◾ ETH and SOL both underperformed BTC, with SOL slightly outperforming ETH with a ~1.4% decline.
◾ FORM rose ~17% to new highs, on continued positive market sentiment around its expanding ecosystem, including DeFi and GameFi ventures such as the launch of an Initial Game Offering (IGO) platform and the https://t.co/KdmSI6YJ7v initiative.
◾ WIF managed to hold onto a ~10% weekly gain after rising nearly ~50% earlier in the week, after its open interest surged to ~$450.000M, its highest since January 2025.
◾ RAY also outperformed the market on the back of revived trading activity for Solana memecoins, with the DEX platform’s token rising by ~6.5% on the week.
🔹 TradFi Overview
◾ Asian stocks opening the week lower after Moody’s downgraded US credit rating.
◾ US futures slipped (S&P 500 futures -0.7% and Nasdaq futures -0.8% in early Asia hours) with the dollar on Monday Asia morning, while US Treasury Yield rose.
◾ Moody’s downgrade puts a sudden brake to the recent 5-day winning streak on Wall Street as investors cheered to US-China trade truce.
◾ US 10Y Treasury Yields jumped and settling around 4.445% on Monday.
◾ Gold jumped again after dropping almost 4% last week, while oil prices steadied.
◾ Markets are now only expecting a 33.9% Fed rates cut in July and a 72.3% odds to cut in September.
🔹 Outlook for the Week
◾ Investors will be monitoring slew of China macro data releasing on Monday (including GDP and Retail sales).
◾ Other macro data that’s worth keeping a tab on includes Australia and Indonesia central bank decisions, Thailand GDP, UK and Japan CPI, US new home sales.
◾ Biggest IPO in Hong Kong this year - CATL begins trading on Tuesday
◾ Several FED officials also due to speak this week which will be closely watched as well.