📊【XWIN Index|July 5, 2025, 7 AM JST】
🧮 XWIN Index Score: 68 / 100 (Day-over-day: +1)
This index is a short-to-medium-term indicator, forecasting approximately one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H trading volume: ~$81.9 billion (Day-over-day: +1.7%)
→ Monthly DEX trading volume is nearing $500 billion, with large-scale on-chain movements by institutions and whales increasing. ETF-driven demand remains solid, supporting high overall liquidity.
2. MACD: Golden cross continues on the 1-hour chart
→ Short-term momentum remains strong, but RSI exceeding 70 indicates overheating signals.
3. MVRV: ~1.81 (Day-over-day: +0.02)
→ Profit-taking pressure is gradually rising. However, strong long-term HODL sentiment continues to provide support.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 65 (Day-over-day: +2|Greed)
→ Market sentiment remains optimistic. Growing FOMO sentiment calls for caution at this stage.
5. Open Interest: ~689,800 BTC (+1.2%)
→ Binance-led OI growth stands out, forming a strong bullish sentiment. Strategic position building by institutions has also been confirmed.
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💵 Stablecoin trends (Day-over-day):
📌 USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $159.5 billion (+0.63%)
Volume: ~$129.8 billion (+1.3%)
→ Continuous new issuance supports liquidity, reflecting strong on-chain demand.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $66.2 billion (+0.61%)
Volume: ~$16.3 billion (+1.2%)
→ Institutional adoption and regulatory confidence remain solid supports.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.66 million (+0.25%)
→ Domestic settlement demand continues to expand steadily.
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🌏 Notable X (Twitter) Topics:
• BlackRock’s spot ETF “$IBIT” jumps to 3rd in revenue contribution, strengthening its presence on Wall Street
• A dormant whale reawakened after 14 years moved 50,000 BTC (~$10B); speculation of Roger Ver’s involvement
• BTC experiences net outflows from exchanges for 5 consecutive weeks, highlighting increasing HODL mindset
• President Trump declared the “first crypto president,” investing 8% of his net worth into crypto assets
• Ethereum’s daily transactions approach an all-time high since 2021, while gas fees remain low
• Ondo Finance acquires US broker “Oasis Pro” to expand tokenized stocks
• Binance’s BTC open interest surges to $9.8B, far exceeding Bybit and others
• Microsoft suspends 3,000 accounts to prevent North Korean cyberattacks
• US signals possible 17% tariffs on EU food exports, fueling trade war concerns
• Solana DApps record $562M+ in Q2 revenue, surpassing Ethereum, BSC, and Base combined
• Japan’s first digital bank “Minna no Ginko” partners with Solana for a stablecoin experiment
• ZachXBT reports ~$140M misappropriation in Brazil, involving insider wrongdoing
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: ~$2.46 trillion (Day-over-day: +1.7%)
• RSI: 72 (firmly in overheated zone)
→ XWIN Index Score: 68 (+1)
→ Continued institutional buying via ETFs, strong DEX growth, and robust HODL demand are bullish factors. However, large whale movements and overheating suggest rising short-term profit-taking risk. A phased strategy remains key.
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📈 Strategy Hints:
• Dip buying zone: $105,500–$107,000
• Profit-taking zone: $112,000–$116,000
• Caution line: break below $102,000 = short-term bearish signal
→ Core strategy: Monitor institutional flows and on-chain signals closely. Combine dip buying with gradual profit-taking, and maintain flexibility to handle potential pullbacks due to overheating.
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