📊【xWIN Index|June 4, 2025 – 7:00 AM JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 68 / 100 (Change: +2 from previous day)
*This index is a short-to-mid-term indicator projecting the market outlook one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$47.3B (24H change: +36.9%)
→ Trading volume rebounded, signaling renewed investor interest and market activity.
2. MACD (5-min chart): Golden Cross
→ Short-term bullish signal triggered; signs of renewed buying momentum.
3. MVRV: 1.80 (▼ 0.82) | STH MVRV: 1.13 (▼ 0.02)
→ Long-term holders remain steady. Short-term profit-taking is slowing down.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 64 (▼7 | Greed)
→ Sentiment remains optimistic, though signs of cooling over-enthusiasm are emerging.
5. Open Interest: ~$7.65B (▲ 6.25%)
→ OI increase suggests institutional and whale activity is heating up again.
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💵 Stablecoin Overview (vs. previous day):
📌 USDT (Tether)
• Market Cap: $153.3B (▲ 0.13%)
• Activity: Continues to support market liquidity as a dominant stablecoin.
📌 USDC (Circle)
• Market Cap: $61.4B (▲ 0.82%)
• Activity: New minting supports Ethereum-based on-chain economy.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
• Market Cap: $14.88M (▼ 0.13%)
• Activity: Remains limited in scope.
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🌏 Notable Trends on X:
• 🇺🇸 James Wynn increased his long position to $147M — bullish conviction.
• 🌊 Stablecoin supply hit a record $248B — led by USDT, USDe, USDS.
• 🐳 Whale wallets (10–10,000 BTC) added 79,000 BTC in a week — clear demand signal.
• 🇺🇸 Senator Cynthia Lummis: "Bitcoin will rise dramatically."
• 🇺🇸 BlackRock sold 5,362 BTC and bought 37,241 ETH over two days.
• 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan launched crypto card pilot program.
• 🇺🇸 California approved bill allowing tax payments in BTC.
• 🇰🇷 Pro-Bitcoin candidate Lee Jae-myung won South Korea's presidential election.
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✅ Summary Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: ~$916B (▲ 0.43%)
• RSI: 64 (slightly in overheated territory)
→ xWIN Score: 68 (+2 from previous day)
→ Technicals, on-chain metrics, and sentiment are showing balanced improvements. While profit-taking and token unlocks remain risks, this could be a favorable opportunity for strategic buying.
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📈 Strategy Insights:
• Buy Zone (Support): $104,200–$105,500
• Take-Profit Range: $108,000–$110,000
• Caution Line: Below $102,500 may trigger downside acceleration
→ With signs of profit-taking and trend continuation coexisting, cautious entries with layered risk management are recommended.
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