Bullish Bitcoin Bets Soar on Prediction Markets, $150K in Sight
Traders on leading prediction markets are placing increasingly bullish bets that bitcoin ( BTC) will achieve record highs by the end of 2025, with overwhelming odds favoring a surge past $120,000.
Prediction Markets Signal Confidence in Bitcoin Price Surge to $125K+
Prediction markets let traders buy and sell contracts tied to the outcome of real-world events, with prices reflecting the perceived probability of those outcomes. Polymarket and Kalshi are two prominent platforms in this space, offering insights into crowd-sourced forecasts on topics ranging from politics to crypto asset prices. The data from both prediction marketplaces reveals surging confidence in bitcoin’s price potential.
On Kalshi, traders now assign a 67% chance that bitcoin will reach at least $125,000 by December 31, 2025 – a significant 10-percentage-point increase in confidence. The odds stand at 31% for hitting $150,000 and 23% for surpassing $160,000, both showing modest gains across the board. Expectations for even higher targets taper off: 12% for $180,000, 8% for $200,000, 4% for $250,000, 3% for $300,000, and just 2% for $500,000